Showing posts with label assured price. Show all posts
Showing posts with label assured price. Show all posts

Friday, October 22, 2021

Farmers are also wealth creators


Pic courtesy: frontline.thehindu.com

We all know it by now. Agriculture was the saviour during the gloomy days of the pandemic. Not only that an individual household got its regular supply of food during the lockdown, and those who could not afford were supplied with free rations, but agriculture also kept the wheels of economy moving. At a time when the economy had slipped by 23.9 per cent in the first quarter of the 2020 financial year, agriculture was the only bright spot registering a gross-value added (GVA) growth of 3.4 per cent. 

All through the year, agriculture provided a solid foundation. Despite the Covid-19 disruptions, and at a time when all other sectors of the economy were struggling, desperately counting the emerging green shoots, the country achieved a record foodgrain production of 308.65 million tonnes. The bumper harvest reaped in 2020-21 was higher by 11.15 million tonnes over what was achieved in the previous year. In addition, the country also produced 329.9 million tonnes of fruits, vegetables, and aromatic and plantation crops, including spices; around 204 million tonnes of milk, and 36.10 million tonnes of oilseeds. 

Simply put, farmers produced economic wealth for the country. Not only during the pandemic, but what needs to be appreciated is that year after year, farmers have toiled hard to bring food to our table. From a stage when India was living in a ‘ship-to-mouth’ existence, and that was not too far distant in the mid-1960s, the role Indian farmers have played in turning the country food self-sufficient is widely recognised. Agriculture has taken a quantum jump, increasing food production six times in seven decades, between 1950-51 and 2020-21. 

A vibrant agriculture is what sustains a growing economy. But to believe economic growth alone can address issues of hunger and malnutrition is nothing short of delusion. As the UN Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO) itself acknowledges that ‘economic growth is necessary but not sufficient to accelerate reduction in hunger and malnutrition’, a study published in the scientific journal The Lancet shows a reduction in malnutrition by a maximum of 6 per cent even if the economic growth soars by 10 per cent. On the contrary, a well-fed nation builds up an efficient and productive manpower which is required to attain a higher economic growth. 

Since 1950-51, if measured in terms of population growth, four more India’s have been added. From 359 million in 1950-51, India’s population has multiplied roughly four times to 1.4 billion. Agriculture not only kept pace, defying the predictions of the Malthusian catastrophe, but has also produced an unmanageable surplus. Not only producing enough to feed the nation, the rise in the per capita availability of foodgrains, fruits, vegetables and milk also helped in meeting the challenges of malnutrition and hidden hunger. That hunger still persists in some parts of the country is not because of any shortfall in food production but is the outcome of the twin problems of access and distribution. 

If growth and prosperity is the central theme of Adam Smith’s seminal work An inquiry into the nature and cause of the Wealth of Nations, it has to be accepted that the remarkable transition in Indian agriculture is what has essentially not only added but led to the wealth of the nation. As the second largest producer in the world of essential foods like wheat, rice, fruits, vegetables, and crops like cotton and groundnut and being the largest producer of milk, jute and pulses, the long strides taken by farmers to shatter all records however has not translated into higher incomes. Growth, in this case, has not led to prosperity on the farm. 

The invisible hand that Adam Smith talked about has actually failed to provide living incomes for farmers, not only in India but across the globe. One doesn’t need to apply sophisticated economic models to find out how farm incomes have actually been squeezed over the years, and how free markets have sucked income from farmers. Instead, as the citation for this year’s Nobel Prize in Economics admits: “.. Conclusions about cause and effect can be drawn from natural experiments.” Agreeing, I feel there is no need for economists to hold econometrics studies when conclusions can be drawn easily from the available evidences. 

FAO has estimated India’s gross value of crop production in 2018 (report released in Mar 2021) at $ 289, 802, 032 million, and that of gross food production at $ 400, 722, 025 million. When it comes to the gross value of agricultural production at current prices, India stands second in the world, next to China, with a gross value of $ 418, 541,343 million. Now before you get lost in the maze of production statistics, what is important to ascertain here is the enormous economic wealth that farmers produce and eventually what agriculture sector generates. 

In other words, farmers too are wealth creators.   

It therefore requires a change in economic thinking, which has traditionally banked on the assumption that only businesses – small and big – are wealth creators. The obscene wealth inequality that prevails is the result of this outdated economic thinking. Otherwise I see no reason why at a time when gross value of agricultural production since 1999 has grown at an average annual rate of 8.25 per cent, farmers should be at the bottom of the ladder. In America, the share of a farmer in every food dollar in 2018 has plummeted to just eight per cent. In India, the latest Situation Assessment Survey for agricultural households computes income from crop cultivation at only Rs 27 per day.  

There is enough evidence to show how free markets have devastated farming across the globe. This has to change. It can only happen when we begin to treat farmers’ not simply as primary producer but also as wealth creators, and ensure their contribution in wealth generation is adequately compensated. To sustain billions of farm livelihoods across the globe, and to celebrate the role farmers play in wealth creation, a beginning has to be made by guaranteeing an assured and profitable price for farmers. #

Source: Farmers need assured price for sustenance. The Tribune. Oct 21, 2021. https://www.tribuneindia.com/news/comment/farmers-need-assured-price-for-sustenance-327252?fbclid=IwAR0mBapW307jBEgSuqnoX-a5YjrYkbylg0AUOFpB22PrkIZfej1iMXhY2mw

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Tuesday, January 19, 2021

The demand for minimum assured price has global implications


A minimum assured  price is the determining factor. 

Addressing the Oxford Real Farming Conference last week, I said that the iconic farmers’ movement in India will have tremendous global implications. If the Indian farmers succeed in making Minimum Support Price (MSP) a legal right, it will cause major disruptions in international trade with focus shifting from trade competitiveness to first ensuring that livelihoods of farmers – the primary producer – everywhere in the world become economically viable and sustainable.  

At the same time, instead of leaving farmers to face the vagaries of markets, which has pushed farmers globally in a debt trap, the demand for ensuring that no trading takes place below the MSP not only provides farmers with a safety net but will gradually become an economic design for the rest of the world to emulate. Across the globe, farmers continue to suffer the consequences of keeping farm gate prices artificially low so as to keep the economic reforms viable. An economically worked out minimum assured price is what would make farming a viable proposition. 

At a time when the world is increasingly looking towards ‘growth without economic growth’ the time has come to make farmers an equal partner in growth. This can only happen when a price assurance is given to farmers. 

Take the case of coffee. While the global coffee market was estimated at $ 102.5 billion in 2019, growers have only received a small fraction of the price – not more than 1 per cent – of the end price a consumer pays. While coffee roasters and retailers rake in huge profits, a majority of the 12.5 million coffee growers somehow survive below the extreme poverty line of $1.90 a day. Although there are several proposals for responsible marketing initiatives, including setting up of a Global Coffee Fund, probably the best way forward would be to provide an MSP to coffee growers.

Given the fact that even the multinational giant Nestle has expressed helplessness, providing an assured price to coffee growers in an otherwise exploitative global value chain is actually what should constitute responsible marketing. This holds true for other agricultural commodities as well. The implications of the Indian farmers protest therefore are far reaching. 

Writing in these columns, this writer had earlier explained how more than 90 per cent of the cocoa farmers were living in extreme poverty, receiving only $ 1.30 as the average daily income. Like the coffee growers, cocoa farmers’ share of income in the end consumer price is hardly a fraction of the enormous profits the chocolate manufacturers make. Just because these farmers are poor no one has actually bothered till recently to look at their plight, to know how markets have destroyed millions of farm livelihoods.  

Coming back to the disruptions expected in international trade, and contrary to the protesting farmers demand, pressure continues to be built on India in the World Trade Organisation (WTO) to dismantle the Farm Support Programme, which means curtailing the MSP for wheat and rice to keep it within the prescribed limit of 10 per cent for product-specific support under the Aggregate Measure of Support (AMS). According to the US, India has for a number of years exceeded its 10 per cent support limit, and is actually under-reporting the extent of support. While India has contested these claims, it does explain why India is reluctant to commit on the farmers demand for extending the MSP delivery for 23 crops for which the prices are announced every year.  

The US and its allies have time and again said that the MSP regime in India disrupts domestic and global prices. Strangely, while the US points to Indian support to farmers as a hurdle in global trade, the product-specific subsidies being provided by the US, Canada and European Union actually distorts trade and makes agricultural exports from the developed countries appear globally competitive. In reality, it is the huge agricultural support that these countries provide for commercially important farm commodities that lowers the international prices. As a result of which the MSP being given to wheat and paddy farmers in India looks to be higher. Let us not forget, these subsidies are in addition to the $ 246 billion of farm subsidies the OECD provided in 2018.  

According to a joint paper some years back by India and China before the WTO, the three big layers -- the US, EU and Canada -- provide for 90 per cent of the product-specific support for agricultural commodities thereby grossly distorting global prices. The total farm support these countries provide – exceeding the 5 per cent AMS limit for rich countries – is to the tune of $ 160 billion. In many cases, this support is twice the total value of the crop produced (215 per cent for wool; 141 per cent for mohair by the US; and in the EU by 120 per cent for white sugar and 155 per cent for tobacco). This huge subsidy support depresses global prices. 

As if this is not enough, the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) comes out with another shocker. Even against these depressed international prices, the prices Indian farmers get are still 13 per cent less. 

Developing country farmers therefore have in reality been silently bearing the true cost of such enormous market price distortions. The export competitiveness that we see is built on the massive subsidy support these countries provide to agriculture, year after year. The time to end these price distortions has come. Protesting farmers have now provided policy makers a direction to rethink and redesign economic policies to usher in sabka saath sabka vishwas by revisiting farm policies, to draw from inherent strengths rather than borrow failed policies from abroad.  

Farmers demand for making MSP a benchmark for domestic and international trade is expected to result in severe disruptions in international trade, and will also result in betterment of a large section of country’s population. What the protesting farmers are standing for holds the key to future growth, and provides a road map for bridging the huge income disparity the world has failed to address. 

Farmers agitation will impact global trade. The Tribune. Jan 16, 2021
https://www.tribuneindia.com/news/comment/farmers-agitation-will-impact-global-trade-199058?fbclid=IwAR23Os3eT4Lmg_579aFkuXzwc9I1r6b69exfYL5vnrPSD87uoFEkag2-eTw
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