Showing posts with label cocoa. Show all posts
Showing posts with label cocoa. Show all posts

Tuesday, January 19, 2021

The demand for minimum assured price has global implications


A minimum assured  price is the determining factor. 

Addressing the Oxford Real Farming Conference last week, I said that the iconic farmers’ movement in India will have tremendous global implications. If the Indian farmers succeed in making Minimum Support Price (MSP) a legal right, it will cause major disruptions in international trade with focus shifting from trade competitiveness to first ensuring that livelihoods of farmers – the primary producer – everywhere in the world become economically viable and sustainable.  

At the same time, instead of leaving farmers to face the vagaries of markets, which has pushed farmers globally in a debt trap, the demand for ensuring that no trading takes place below the MSP not only provides farmers with a safety net but will gradually become an economic design for the rest of the world to emulate. Across the globe, farmers continue to suffer the consequences of keeping farm gate prices artificially low so as to keep the economic reforms viable. An economically worked out minimum assured price is what would make farming a viable proposition. 

At a time when the world is increasingly looking towards ‘growth without economic growth’ the time has come to make farmers an equal partner in growth. This can only happen when a price assurance is given to farmers. 

Take the case of coffee. While the global coffee market was estimated at $ 102.5 billion in 2019, growers have only received a small fraction of the price – not more than 1 per cent – of the end price a consumer pays. While coffee roasters and retailers rake in huge profits, a majority of the 12.5 million coffee growers somehow survive below the extreme poverty line of $1.90 a day. Although there are several proposals for responsible marketing initiatives, including setting up of a Global Coffee Fund, probably the best way forward would be to provide an MSP to coffee growers.

Given the fact that even the multinational giant Nestle has expressed helplessness, providing an assured price to coffee growers in an otherwise exploitative global value chain is actually what should constitute responsible marketing. This holds true for other agricultural commodities as well. The implications of the Indian farmers protest therefore are far reaching. 

Writing in these columns, this writer had earlier explained how more than 90 per cent of the cocoa farmers were living in extreme poverty, receiving only $ 1.30 as the average daily income. Like the coffee growers, cocoa farmers’ share of income in the end consumer price is hardly a fraction of the enormous profits the chocolate manufacturers make. Just because these farmers are poor no one has actually bothered till recently to look at their plight, to know how markets have destroyed millions of farm livelihoods.  

Coming back to the disruptions expected in international trade, and contrary to the protesting farmers demand, pressure continues to be built on India in the World Trade Organisation (WTO) to dismantle the Farm Support Programme, which means curtailing the MSP for wheat and rice to keep it within the prescribed limit of 10 per cent for product-specific support under the Aggregate Measure of Support (AMS). According to the US, India has for a number of years exceeded its 10 per cent support limit, and is actually under-reporting the extent of support. While India has contested these claims, it does explain why India is reluctant to commit on the farmers demand for extending the MSP delivery for 23 crops for which the prices are announced every year.  

The US and its allies have time and again said that the MSP regime in India disrupts domestic and global prices. Strangely, while the US points to Indian support to farmers as a hurdle in global trade, the product-specific subsidies being provided by the US, Canada and European Union actually distorts trade and makes agricultural exports from the developed countries appear globally competitive. In reality, it is the huge agricultural support that these countries provide for commercially important farm commodities that lowers the international prices. As a result of which the MSP being given to wheat and paddy farmers in India looks to be higher. Let us not forget, these subsidies are in addition to the $ 246 billion of farm subsidies the OECD provided in 2018.  

According to a joint paper some years back by India and China before the WTO, the three big layers -- the US, EU and Canada -- provide for 90 per cent of the product-specific support for agricultural commodities thereby grossly distorting global prices. The total farm support these countries provide – exceeding the 5 per cent AMS limit for rich countries – is to the tune of $ 160 billion. In many cases, this support is twice the total value of the crop produced (215 per cent for wool; 141 per cent for mohair by the US; and in the EU by 120 per cent for white sugar and 155 per cent for tobacco). This huge subsidy support depresses global prices. 

As if this is not enough, the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) comes out with another shocker. Even against these depressed international prices, the prices Indian farmers get are still 13 per cent less. 

Developing country farmers therefore have in reality been silently bearing the true cost of such enormous market price distortions. The export competitiveness that we see is built on the massive subsidy support these countries provide to agriculture, year after year. The time to end these price distortions has come. Protesting farmers have now provided policy makers a direction to rethink and redesign economic policies to usher in sabka saath sabka vishwas by revisiting farm policies, to draw from inherent strengths rather than borrow failed policies from abroad.  

Farmers demand for making MSP a benchmark for domestic and international trade is expected to result in severe disruptions in international trade, and will also result in betterment of a large section of country’s population. What the protesting farmers are standing for holds the key to future growth, and provides a road map for bridging the huge income disparity the world has failed to address. 

Farmers agitation will impact global trade. The Tribune. Jan 16, 2021
https://www.tribuneindia.com/news/comment/farmers-agitation-will-impact-global-trade-199058?fbclid=IwAR23Os3eT4Lmg_579aFkuXzwc9I1r6b69exfYL5vnrPSD87uoFEkag2-eTw
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Tuesday, January 5, 2021

India needs a rethink on 'free market'

Pic courtesy: Fairtrade Foundation 

All of us like chocolates. But the next time you bite into a chocolate bar, just be reminded. The average income a cocoa farmer earns a day is probably less than the price of a medium-sized chocolate bar that is in your hands. About Rs 100 ($1.30) a day is what a cocoa farmer in Western Africa earns.   

At a time when the $ 210-billion global confectionary industry has been growing leaps and bounds, with chocolate taking the highest market share, the biennial Cocoa Barometer 2020 report illustrates how the prevailing market-driven business model leading to excessive profits for chocolate industry is based on achieving higher productivity of cocoa that in turn has kept nearly 5 to 6 million cocoa farmers perpetually in poverty. Discarding the dependence on markets, if only cocoa farmers had received a minimum support price (MSP) over the decades, it would have helped millions of cocoa farmers ascend the ladder out of poverty, hunger and malnutrition. 

In Britain, after the Milk Marketing Board, which regulated milk prices and marketing, was removed in 1993, the number of dairy farms has come down drastically in the past 25 years -- from 40,000 in 1995 to an estimated 8,310 in 2020. Although 99.9 per cent milk producer had wanted price regulations to continue but market economists thought otherwise. Between 1994 and 2010, milk prices had fallen by 28 per cent and there came a time (in 2015) when prices slumped further by 40 per cent. Farmers were simply unable to even recover the cost of production. The plight and agony emanating from the destruction of farm livelihoods in the process was brushed under the carpet. As a British farmers said: “Every genuine farmer is now stuck unfairly on a treadmill with accumulating debts to meet unless he goes bankrupt, commits suicide or finds another source of income.”    

What happened in Britain or for that matter in Europe was no exception. In America, at least 50 per cent dairy farms have disappeared in the past two decades. According to the US Department of Agriculture, the number of licensed dairy farms had come down from 70,000 in 2003 to 34,000 in 2019.  While small farmers bowed out, mega-dairies have instead taken over. As a result, despite the closure of small dairy farms, milk production has further swelled. This is certainly not what India needs. In a country where roughly 50 per cent of the population remains engaged in agriculture, and which tops the global milk production chart, what India needs is a production system by the masses, where small farmers earn a decent livelihood from an assured price delivery mechanism. 

As expected, ‘free market’ in dairy benefitted the milk processing companies, and pushed small dairy farmers out of business. Thus began a vicious cycle of over-production, bringing down the market prices. Instead of fundamentally addressing the flaws in supply chains, by ensuring assured prices to dairy farmers to begin with, Europe and America focused more on providing bailout packages to temporarily assuage farmer’s ire. British farmers (and also in Ireland) therefore continued to protest against the ‘unfair’ prices and have since been campaigning for a fair deal.   

The tragedy on the dairy farm was further compounded by an unjust WTO’s Agreement on Agriculture which allowed heavily subsidised milk from European countries to be dumped in developing countries. Breaching the five per cent product-specific subsidy support norms for developed countries, EU had actually subsidised skimmed milk powder by 67 per thereby easily dumping cheaper milk in developing countries. In the process, small dairy farmers suffered at both the ends -- in the developed as well as developing countries. 

No wonder, at a time when mainline economists in India are excited at the possibility of ‘free markets’ enhancing farm incomes, Canadian farmers are seeking more protection to save their livelihoods. Three major farm unions in eastern Canada are demanding protection (by way of subsidy and import tariffs) against US President Donald Trump’s recent $ 32 billion subsidy package to American farmers, which they say threatens their survival. “Farmers need to be able to cover the cost of production or many of them will not be able to survive much longer.” 

Now let us look at America. The prosperity that we see on the farm is a reflection of the massive subsidy support. To ensure that small farmers are not wiped out, the US has been coming out with a Farm Bill every five years. In the 2018 Farm Bill, US has expanded the safety-net umbrella for farmers making a provision for $ 867 billion for the next ten years in commodity support, numerous measures to enhance farm incomes as well as for nutrition schemes.

Instead of leaving farmers to face the volatility of markets, the US has time and again come up with programmes to offset the losses incurred. In the 2018 Farm Bill, it has introduced an Agricultural Risk Campaign (ARC) and a Price Loss Coverage (PLC) programme. Both these programme are aimed at covering losses a farmer suffers when crop prices or revenues drop, and covers 24 commodities including wheat, oats, barley, corn, grain sorghum, rice, soybeans, sunflower seed, rapeseed, canola, safflower, flaxseed, mustard seed, crambe and sesame seed, seed cotton, dry peas, lentils, small chickpeas, large chickpeas, and peanuts. In addition, there are numerous other programmes for relief from natural disasters, crop insurance, structural adjustment and environment. 

Even in China, markets have failed to help increase farm incomes. According to a report in Washington Post, ‘China’s agriculture support includes government purchases at above-market prices, as well as market price support programs, where farmers receive a direct payment from the government if market prices fall below a minimum set price’. This has helped raise farm incomes by 38 percent in wheat, 32 per cent in rice and 29 percent for corn. China provided a farm subsidy support of $ 212 billion in 2016, the highest in the world. The US had challenged this subsidies in the WTO. 

Well, if the agricultural giants realise the inability of markets to help raise farm incomes, India too must rethink its approach. There are significant lessons here. #

India needs a rethink on 'free market'. The Tribune. Dec 30, 2020. https://www.tribuneindia.com/news/comment/india-needs-a-rethink-on-free-market-191160?fbclid=IwAR19TsKH-Uxz5Zdyz1UfgKAWdZl1qdrQp6YRuf-cknlwYksvBU83vsLbyHY#.X-30cqEmiYY.twitter

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