Showing posts with label NSSO. Show all posts
Showing posts with label NSSO. Show all posts

Monday, May 24, 2021

How the rich become richer, and the poor are driven to the wall





Ever since the first wave of coronavirus pushed countries into a lockdown, the central banks, mainly in the rich countries, printed US $ 9 trillion of surplus money. Well, the underlying objective was to infuse this surplus money into the pandemic hit economies, which had been left gasping for breath.

According to economist Ruchir Sharma, Chief Global Strategist at the Morgan Stanley Investment Management, this pandemic stimulus in turn made the rich add on to their wealth. “Much of that stimulus had gone into financial markets and from there into the net worth of ultra-rich,” he wrote (Financial Times, May 16). The total wealth of the super rich has increased in the same period to somewhere between $ 5 trillion to $ 13 trillion. No wonder, markets are awash with money, while countries are struggling to pull economy out of slump.

The sad irony is that what appears to be an ingenious way to indirectly transfer wealth from public coffers into the pockets of the ultra-rich happened at a time when Brookings estimated that an additional 144 million people globally, in 2020, slipped below the stringently kept poverty line. Using the World Bank and IMF poverty estimates, the calculations show that India has surpassed Nigeria when it comes to having the largest population of people living in extreme poverty. India added another 85 million poor to its existing huge numbers that have somehow been surviving below the poverty line. The devastating second wave of Covid-19 may leave a still bigger dent in poverty estimates.    

But perhaps what we do not realise is that all it requires to eradicate extreme poverty from the globe is US $100 billion, a tiny fraction of the pandemic stimulus that was pumped in to revive the global economy and instead ended up rewarding the billionaires by helping them to amass more wealth. This is not the first time that such astonishing amounts of surplus money have been pumped indirectly into the hands of the super rich. For quite a number of years, central banks in rich countries have been printing surplus money. However, what remains unexplained is how come there is all the money for the rich, but the world is still unable to find enough money to fight poverty.

If only a fraction of the pandemic stimulus had gone to where it was needed -- to remove poverty, the world would have been a much better place to live.

Meanwhile, the pandemic has further widened income inequality taking it to obnoxious levels. In America, the Institute for Policy Study says the combined wealth of its billionaires increased by 44.6 per cent during the pandemic. During the same period an estimated 80 million people lost their jobs. In any case, top 50 super rich in America hold as much wealth as the bottom 165 million. In India, the income inequality is no less glaring. Just to give you an idea, the average farm income as worked out by 2013 National Sample Survey Office (NSSO) report, for roughly 50 per cent of the population dependent largely on farming, stands at a paltry Rs 6,426 per month (roughly half of it coming from non-farm activities). That is why protesting farmers have been demanding an assured income by way of an assured price for their produce.

Compare this with what an Oxfam’s ‘Inequality Virus Report’ brings out. The combined wealth of India’s billionaires has risen by 35 per cent during the pandemic, and to explain how the increase would translate in simple terms, the report states that the rise in wealth of just top 11 billionaires alone is enough to pay for MNREGA work for ten years. In any case, the top 1 per cent holds four times the wealth that the bottom 953 million has.  

To understand how an increase in income works wonders for the poor, look at the outcome of this experiment on the feasibility of universal basic income. Two years before the pandemic struck, in early 2018, Foundation for Social Change, a charitable organisation, along with the University of British Columbia in Canada gave $ 7,500 Canadian dollars (or US $ 6,206) to 50 homeless families in the Vancouver region. A year later, during which time the charity kept a tab on how the money was being utilised, the results that emerged were not only astounding, but equally encouraging. More or less same results have been achieved in almost similar kind of studies conducted elsewhere.

Contrary to the public perception wherein it is generally believed that the poor don’t know how to handle money, the results clearly brought out how wisely they made use of the limited financial support, spending it on necessities like food, clothes, housing and other utilities. According to news reports, while the consumption of basic food needs went up by 37 per cent; the poor had actually cut down on drug and alcohol by 39 per cent. By moving fast into housing, these homeless actually worked to ensure a roof over their head. What the study therefore conclusively established is the significance of roti, kapda and makaan for the poor households everywhere in the world, and their strenuous efforts to work towards attaining it. In other words, such petty cash transfers have the potential to uplift the poor from the clutches of poverty.

Instead, we see more money being routed to the rich by way of tax concessions, economic stimulus packages, bank write-offs, bailouts and massive subsidies in the name of incentives for growth to bolster corporation profits with the faulty assumption that some of it will trickle down to the poor and needy. When it comes to giving poor their share, the argument is that by giving surplus money directly into the hands of the poor everyone will have more to spend, and that will lead to higher inflation.  

The economic growth model therefore has been very cleverly designed to help widen income inequality, and make the fat cows still fatter. The poor are expected to fend for themselves. #

Growth should take the poor into account. The Tribune. May 22, 2021 https://www.tribuneindia.com/news/comment/growth-should-take-the-poor-into-account-256674?fbclid=IwAR3OX6dgsHwmg3kBgPxtksZkQKxPaSjOxe9v10eK0wxIlMXZskwip2RXvAE


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Tuesday, October 6, 2020

Post Independence, markets have failed Indian farmers

 


Reiterating what a former US Agriculture Secretary Earl Butz (at the time of Richard Nixon) had once given a call: “Get big or get out,” Sonny Perdue, US President Donald Trump’s Agriculture Secretary too recently said: “In America, the big get bigger and the small go out. I don’t think in America, (as) for any small business, we have a guaranteed income or guaranteed profitability. “ 

Wherever agriculture is being opened to markets, the big capital has successfully managed to push out the majority farming population and concentrated its control over food. That’s how the markets behave, with its own set of logic and ethics. As the big get bigger, the small farms struggle to survive. In America, after decades of market reforms in agriculture, only 1.5 per cent of its population has somehow managed to survive on the farm. Despite providing for $ 867 billion support under the Farm Bill 2018 over the next 10 years for agriculture, nutrition and conservation programmes, rising suicide rate, worrying trends of depression in rural areas, declining milk and farm commodity prices, and the mounting bankruptcy in farming – estimated at $ 425 billion -- will make it tough for the family farms to survive the transition.

With the suicide rate being 45 per cent higher in rural areas as compared to urban America, low prices and mounting debt has pushed much of the rural population into the grips of stress and depression. What happened in America is no exception. It has in fact become an international agricultural design, with agribusiness gaining strongholds over the food value chains across the globe, in reality their competitive strength depending on the huge subsidies received. In Europe, farming too is in a severe crisis despite an annual subsidy support of $ 100 billion, of which nearly 50 per cent goes as direct income support. Low prices and mounting debt has gradually pushed small farmers out of business. In UK alone, 3,000 dairy farms have closed down in the past four years. In France, a study had shown that nearly 500 farmers commit suicide on an average in a year. 

Compare this with India, where 3.64-lakh farmers have officially committed suicide in the past 25 years as per the National Crime Record Bureau statistics. Despite 94 per cent farmers being dependent on markets all these years (as per the Shanta Kumar committee report), Indian agriculture is still in the throes of a terrible agrarian distress. Interestingly, an NSSO report in 2014-15 had shown that nearly 54 to 84 per cent farmers (depending on crops) in the kharif marketing season had sold their produce outside the mandis to private traders. In other words, farmers had the freedom to sell anywhere. They were not in the clutches of the mandis. The question therefore that needs to be asked is if markets were so efficient, why farmers should be increasingly abandoning agriculture and migrating to the cities. If markets were so benevolent, there is no reason why agriculture shouldn’t have been the engine of economic growth. I am not sure whether the markets have now undergone a heart transplant given the exuberance being shown, promising higher price discovery for farmers.  

But this is how markets operate. It pushes people away from agriculture primarily to provide cheap workforce for the industry. The big get bigger in the process and the small go out. For India, the Washington-based International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) has a similar proposition – ‘move up or move out’. For several decades, mainline economists in India had been arguing on similar lines. Numerous committees and reports had pointed to the need to move towards market-friendly agriculture. Minimum Support Price (MSP) was blamed to be the culprit, coming in the way of real price discovery. In one form or the other, the emphasis had been on dismantling the vast network of Agriculture Produce Market Committee (APMC) regulated mandis in Punjab and Haryana.   

To strengthen the argument, even the Commission for Agricultural Costs and Prices (CACP) had come out with a table ranking States in terms of market-friendliness. Bihar was among the states that topped the chart, and Punjab was at the bottom. 

Punjab is at the bottom of the chart because 87 per cent of wheat and rice (as per CACP) is procured by the Food Corporation of India (FCI) or by public sector agencies on its behalf at a guaranteed MSP. In Bihar, less than 1 per cent of the wheat harvest is procured. If this is market-friendliness, economists need to explain what is so good about it. In Punjab and Haryana, comprising the food bowl, farmers receive Rs 80,000-crore a year by way of price support. As far as I can remember, barring a few instances farmers have not received a price higher than the MSP in open markets. Market prices have always remained lower than the MSP announced for wheat and paddy, the two crops that are being procured. Similarly for the 23 crops for which MSP is announced every year, open market prices have generally been lower. That’s the reason why agriculture continues to be in a serious crisis.   

The real price discovery for farmers is by MSP only. The need therefore is to make MSP a legal right of for farmers and ensure that no trading takes places below the MSP, not only for wheat and paddy but for all the 23 crops for which MSP is announced. 

Although the government says MSP and APMC markets will remain intact under the new marketing reforms being ushered in, farmers fear that APMC mandis will gradually become redundant. With APMC markets heading towards a collapse, the new sets of reforms are aimed at encouraging corporatisation of agriculture, with big business moving in agriculture, storage and marketing. As the experience of US/Europe shows, when unregulated markets become dominant, small farmers are the first to be pushed out of agriculture. Given that 86 per cent farmers have less than five acres of land holdings, the message is clear: get big or get out. #

*Ensure no trading takes below MSP. The Tribune. Sept 24, 2020 https://www.tribuneindia.com/news/haryana/ensure-no-trading-takes-place-below-msp-145671#:~:text=In%20Punjab%20and%20Haryana%2C%20comprising,by%20way%20of%20price%20support.&text=The%20need%20therefore%20is%20to,for%20which%20MSP%20is%20announced.


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