Showing posts with label Joe Biden. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Joe Biden. Show all posts

Sunday, November 14, 2021

Reform the tax laws to make the super-rich pay


Barbados Prime Minister at COP26. 
Pic courtesy: Reuters

Among all the heads of the state that made headlines at the ongoing COP26 negotiations in Glasgow, the chances are you wouldn’t have been told what the Prime Minister of Barbados, Mia Mottley, said in her eight minute address. The mainline media didn’t talk of it, and what she said was uncomfortable for the big business as well as for the global leadership to even acknowledge. Each line of her powerful address brought out the bitter truth that the world tries so hard to push under the carpet.

Mia Mottley talked of quantitative easing, an instrument of monetary policy that has remained outside the purview of TV discussions, and in fact is not even deliberated much in the economic classrooms. As an economic expression it means buying bonds to lower the interest rates on savings and loans but in simple terms it means printing surplus money. She talked of $25 trillion of surplus money printed by Central banks of the wealthy countries in the past 13 years: “Had we used those $25 trillion to purchase bonds to finance the energy transition, of how we eat, of how we move around in transport, we would have today reached that 1.5 degree limit that is so vital to us,” she stated.

As I had explained in one of my earlier articles (The Tribune, May 22, 2021) $ 9 trillion of surplus money that the Central banks had printed in 2020 alone had actually gone into the pockets of the rich via the financial markets. While the wealth of the super-rich increased by a whopping $5 trillion to $13 trillion during the pandemic, imagine how gigantic the $25 trillion quantitative easing booster dose must have been for the soaring wealth of the ultra-rich. Nevertheless, if the surplus money was instead routed to provide for the global climate finance requirement of $100 billion a year that the Paris Agreement had promised for, the world would have been a much safer place to live. As the Barbados Prime Minister had worked out, quantitative easing could have been easily utilised to create a $500 billion fund, which would hardly be 2 per cent of the surplus money printed. 

In fact, if I were to add another $100 billion that is required to fight extreme global poverty, a fraction of the surplus money that is printed, could have been more than sufficient to make the world move towards a utopian stage where poverty becomes history, where no one sleeps hungry, and where the world gets over the nightmare of an impending climate catastrophe. The massive amounts of quantitative easing drives growth, economists would say but what is not told is whose growth. Why the same instruments cannot be suitably transformed to ensure that quantitative easing works for the people and the planet? That’s a question that economic thought leaders as well as G-7 leadership has conveniently ducked.   

Not only quantitative easing, the rich are routinely provided with economic stimulus, bailouts and tax cuts besides other incentives. In US, effective corporate income tax has come down from 50 per cent in 1950 to 13 per cent in 2020. In India, corporate tax has been lowered from 30 per cent to 22 per cent, and the demand is to bring it still further down. Not investing the amount saved in creating employment, these tax cuts have often helped companies to buy back shares. In last five years, Indian companies have gone in for stock buyback to the tune of Rs 2-lakh crore. 

The rich don’t become ultra-rich because they did something extraordinary but it is simply because macro-economic policies are so designed to help transfer wealth to them. So much so that in America, top 1 per cent holds 15 times more wealth than the bottom 50 per cent. In India, the top 1 per cent holds four-times more wealth than the bottom 70 per cent. Despite this generosity, the top 1 per cent globally has safely hidden an estimated $7.6 trillion in tax havens. 

At a time when 55 corporations in the US haven’t paid any tax, US President Joe Biden has publicly accepted the implicit bias in the tax regime. In a tweet last week, he wrote: “Those at the top have gotten a free ride – at the expense of the middle class – for far too long. My Build Back Better Framework will make the super-wealthy and big corporations pay their fair share, and then invest that money in the middle class.” The Build Back Better Programme is the $3.5 trillion package that he recently unveiled to reduce poverty, expand healthcare and address the crisis emanating from climate aberrations.  

Considering that at a time when wealth inequality is increasing, and corporate tax is being systematically lowered, what Joe Biden says makes terrific economic sense. It is well known that billionaires wealth increased by a whopping 70 per cent during the pandemic. To give you an idea, the wealth of America’s billionaires increased by $ 2.1 trillion in the first 19 months of the pandemic, of which Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s wealth surpassed $ 209 billion, and former co-founder of Amazon Jeff Bezos is now worth $192 billion. But they didn’t pay their share of taxes. As per ProPublica, an investigative website, Musk didn’t pay any tax in 2018 and Bezos didn’t pay in 2007 and 2011. Reports also show that the top 400 richest in the US paid a lower tax than an average American worker. 

This brings me back to the question that Mia Mottley had raised. After all, adequate public finance and investment is required to secure the future economic and social-well being of people. Decades of corporate tax avoidance, austerity and economic liberalisation have brought the world to a stage where it is awash with money, but the tragedy is that much of it is locked in corporate safe vaults. The bigger challenge therefore is how to reform the tax regime to make the super-rich pay, and redesign economic policies that work for people and the planet. #

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Friday, May 21, 2021

It's time economics gives up on outdated concepts that have failed to prop up farm incomes


Pic courtesy: web 

In an address to Congress, US President Joe Biden stated: “Trickle down economics has never worked. And it’s time to grow the economy from the bottom and the middle out.” This is probably the first time any US President has acknowledged the failure of a dominant economic thinking that is ostensibly behind much of the socio-economic crisis the world is faced with.    

Trickle down is surely an outdated economic concept. So much so, that it should have been erased from the economic thought process by now. And yet, it continues to be part of the economic curriculum and whether we like it or not helps formulate the global economic policies thereby acerbating inequality, and continuing to keep the world in grip of poverty and hunger.  

Whether the US President’s acknowledgement will bring about a change in the way the World Bank/IMF as well as the credit rating agencies have been promoting policies that hinges on to the failed trickle down theory, only time will tell. But let us hope economic institutes, including business and management schools, initiate a debate on how to shift to more realistic policies that “grow the economy from the bottom and middle out” as Joe Biden had envisioned. 

Similarly, there are several other economic concepts and hypothesis that should have been discarded by now. After all, economics is a progressive science and it should move with changing times, improving on ideas with new learning’s. Holding on to outdated ideas, and teaching young students the same outgrown concepts leads to building up a generation of economists whose economic orientation leaves much to be desired.  

This becomes more relevant in the context of the ongoing debate on the three central farm laws. The predominant economic thinking that free markets leads to better price discovery for farmers, given the supply demand equilibrium, has actually failed to translate into higher incomes for small farmers across the globe. To be told that less the population in farming, the higher will be the farm incomes; and bigger the land holdings the higher will be the bargaining power thereby enhancing farm incomes, too has failed. 

While economists refuse to acknowledge that these hypotheses are perhaps outdated and need to be discarded, the same is being reiterated as the possible way to double farm incomes in India. Given that roughly 50 per cent of the workforce, directly or indirectly, is engaged in agriculture in India, it is amusing to read a report that says policy makers believe that increasing the rate of farm migration from the existing 1.81 per cent to 2.4 per cent per year in India will automatically lead to higher farm incomes. If this was indeed true, I wonder why the same economic thought has failed to hold true for farmers in the developed countries.  

As I have often said, in the United States, farming population has come down to 1.5 per cent, and the average farm size has increased to over 440 acres. Still, farm incomes are on a steep decline. This defies the economic theories that we were made to believe. Just to give you an idea, the wheat price farmers get is much less than what they were getting 150 years back at the time of the American Civil War. More recently, while the median farm income has remained negative for some years, farmers were saddled with a bankruptcy of $425 billion in July 2020. Let me reiterate, the rate of farm suicides in America is 45 per cent higher in rural areas compared to urban centres. If the markets were so good, there is no reason why agricultural subsidies should in reality substantiate farm incomes to the tune of 40 per cent. 

In neighbouring Canada, where the farming population has shrunk to about 1.7 per cent, and the farm size has grown enormously, farmers are indebted to the tune of roughly $102 billion.  Clearly shows that the popular economic understanding that farm incomes go up when the population in farming drops, and as the farm size grows, has not worked here either. 

This is not only true for North America. Europe is no better. In Sweden, since 1990, the numbers of farms have declined by 30 per cent. While the farm size increased, the number of farmers has come down to less than 2 per cent. Despite the dominant economic thinking envisaging higher farm incomes when the proportion of farm population drops, farm incomes too have slumped there. According to the 2018 Common Agriculture Policy (CAP) Strategic Plan of the European Commission, 54 per cent of the average farm income in Sweden is made up by subsidy support. With a direct income support, which is double than what an average European Union farmer receives, Swedish farmers are able to supplement farm incomes reaching some level of parity. 

The same holds true for France, Germany, Denmark, Belgium, Ireland, Spain and UK to name a few of the EU’s major agricultural players. Europe provides a farm subsidy support of $ 100 billion, and yet farm protests against falling incomes are only increasing.  

That free markets have failed to prop up farm incomes in the rich developed countries clearly shows that something is fundamentally wrong in our economic thinking and approach. We can argue about the virtues of markets till the cows come home, but the fact remains that market principles we learnt in our economic courses have failed to translate into higher farm incomes, the only visible beneficiary being the agribusiness companies. How will the same market principles work for small farmers in India, constituting 86 per cent of the farming population, remain a dilemma?  

This calls for an economic rethinking. To make farming a viable proposition, perhaps US President Joe Biden needs to include farm income parity or guaranteed farm incomes as the guiding principle for boosting ‘the economy from the bottom and middle’. #

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